← Explore · Polymarket · Market 943457
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-19 House seat?
93.0% implied · bid 92.0¢ · ask 94.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 93.0%, up 3.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability93.0%
Bid / ask / mid92.0¢ / 94.0¢ / 93.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h+3.50pt
Change 7d+3.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 58/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 50% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,442
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11,120 / $24,177
Imbalance50% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score57.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.2σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.17
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.18pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 60d 6h.
Time to resolve60d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%