← Explore · Polymarket · Market 960184
Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
0.3% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.5¢
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The market prices this at 1.8%, down 0.8pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.
Implied probability1.8%
Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.5¢ / 0.3¢
Spread0.4¢ (133.3%)
Change 24h-0.80pt
Change 7d-3.70pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$898
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $32
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 22 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.17
RSI (14, hourly)22.2
Realized vol 7d0.39pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 3d 7h.
Time to resolve3d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%