← Explore · Polymarket · Market 960188

Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?

25.0% implied · bid 24.0¢ · ask 26.0¢

The market prices this at 26.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability26.0%

Bid / ask / mid24.0¢ / 26.0¢ / 25.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (8.0%)

Change 24h+0.50pt

Change 7d-0.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 23% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,559

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,857 / $3,631

Imbalance23% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score43.7 / 100

RSI 60 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 9.7σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean9.73

RSI (14, hourly)60.0

Realized vol 7d0.14pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 3d 7h.

Time to resolve3d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%