Explore · live

Prediction markets

The same markets Polymarket is showing right now, by category. Prices refresh live every 5 seconds. Click any market for the full metric panel.

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Anthropic86%Company A50%Company B50%Company C50%

$410K 24h vol

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic63%OpenAI19%Google13%xAI3%

$82K 24h vol

Largest Company end of September?

NVIDIA96%Company F50%Company G50%Company H50%

$51K 24h vol

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA80%Apple13%Alphabet8%Microsoft1%

$32K 24h vol

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Anthropic77%Company A50%Company B50%Company C50%

$27K 24h vol

Foldable iPhone Announced Price?

$1,800+94%$2,000+87%$2,200+46%$2,400+14%

$26K 24h vol

OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?

1480+80%1490+56%1500+49%1510+14%

$25K 24h vol

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

December 3196%September 3021%September 105%September 155%

$14K 24h vol

Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)

Anthropic79%Company A50%Company B50%Company C50%

$14K 24h vol

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

26%chance · Yes

$12K 24h vol

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Alibaba64%Other50%Company A50%Company B50%

$10K 24h vol

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

October 3177%September 3031%September 154%

$10K 24h vol

#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?

Person 150%Person 250%Person 350%Person 450%

$8K 24h vol

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

OpenAI83%Other50%Company A50%Company B50%

$8K 24h vol

Best AI model on September 14?

claude-fable-5.1-max65%Other33%claude-opus-5-max2%claude-opus-5-high2%

$7K 24h vol

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?

Anthropic91%Company A50%Company B50%Company C50%

$7K 24h vol

Next Claude Opus released by...?

December 3199%October 3195%September 3067%

$6K 24h vol

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?

Anthropic91%Company A50%Company B50%Company C50%

$6K 24h vol

Best AI model on September 21?

claude-fable-5.1-max57%Other32%claude-opus-5-max4%claude-opus-5-high4%

$5K 24h vol

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?

Other50%Company A50%Company B50%Company C50%

$5K 24h vol

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?

Anthropic90%Company A50%Company B50%Company C50%

$5K 24h vol

GPT-7 released by...?

December 31, 202776%June 30, 202726%

$4K 24h vol

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?

OpenAI97%Other50%Other50%Other50%

$4K 24h vol

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

October 3196%September 3092%Successful splash down?86%Super Heavy booster explodes?83%

$4K 24h vol

Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?

93%chance · Yes

$4K 24h vol

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Anthropic80%Other50%Company A50%Company B50%

$4K 24h vol

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?

Google97%Other50%Other50%Other50%

$4K 24h vol

Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?

Anthropic82%Other50%Company A50%Company B50%

$4K 24h vol

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

Anthropic61%Company A50%Company B50%Company C50%

$4K 24h vol

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3183%October 3146%

$4K 24h vol

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+76%50%+59%55%+44%60%+25%

$4K 24h vol

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+66%65%+31%70%+17%75%+10%

$3K 24h vol

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?

DeepSeek98%Other50%Other50%Other50%

$3K 24h vol

Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?

October 3126%

$3K 24h vol

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

Anthropic73%Other50%Company A50%Company B50%

$3K 24h vol

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

November 3090%October 3169%September 3031%September 156%

$3K 24h vol

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

#328%#19%

$3K 24h vol

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

Other50%Company A50%Company B50%Company C50%

$3K 24h vol

Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

December 316%

$3K 24h vol

Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)

10%chance · Yes

$3K 24h vol

OpenAI’s Astra Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+100%50%+83%60%+18%

$3K 24h vol

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

152095%15407%15305%15502%

$3K 24h vol

OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

September 7100%September 14100%September 21100%September 2899%

$2K 24h vol

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by September 3069%September 306%September 244%September 234%

$2K 24h vol

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

1500+80%1505+67%1510+41%1515+26%

$2K 24h vol

SSI public model released by…?

October 3150%September 3026%

$2K 24h vol

3rd Largest Company end of September?

Alphabet85%Company B50%Company C50%Company D50%

$2K 24h vol

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

Anthropic89%Company A50%Company B50%Company C50%

$2K 24h vol