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Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro76%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva24%

$743K 24h vol

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen46%Édouard Philippe19%David Lisnard12%Jean-Luc Mélenchon11%

$697K 24h vol

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot50%Benjamin Netanyahu28%Naftali Bennett13%Avigdor Lieberman4%

$602K 24h vol

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Other50%Flávio Bolsonaro <4%47%Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%25%Lula da Silva <4%21%

$371K 24h vol

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202710%December 31, 20262%

$239K 24h vol

France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?

December 313%November 153%October 311%

$125K 24h vol

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

9%chance · Yes

$99K 24h vol

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson79%Ulf Kristersson16%Ebba Busch2%Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist2%

$96K 24h vol

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%71%Other50%Remain 20–40%19%Remain 60–80%12%

$93K 24h vol

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3124%October 319%

$89K 24h vol

France declares state of emergency by...?

December 3123%October 3114%October 212%

$68K 24h vol

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2%chance · Yes

$43K 24h vol

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

5%chance · Yes

$40K 24h vol

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

3%chance · Yes

$31K 24h vol

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Other50%Iotova 20-30%42%Iotova 10-20%17%Iotova 40%+9%

$29K 24h vol

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%chance · Yes

$25K 24h vol

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Vladimir Putin85%Mohammed bin Salman77%Kim Jong Un13%Aleksandr Lukashenko11%

$23K 24h vol

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

2%chance · Yes

$21K 24h vol

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China82%No meeting by December 3113%United States3%Russia1%

$20K 24h vol

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

Person L50%Person M50%Person N50%Person O50%

$17K 24h vol

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland14%Syria6%Egypt6%Qatar6%

$15K 24h vol

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

Person I50%Person J50%Person K50%Person L50%

$13K 24h vol

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

14%chance · Yes

$11K 24h vol

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

Person L50%Person M50%Person N50%Person O50%

$11K 24h vol

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

No Next Chancellor before 202864%Person A50%Person B50%Person C50%

$11K 24h vol

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova88%Аndrey Gyurov13%Nikolai Denkov0%Blagomir Kotsev0%

$11K 24h vol

Netanyahu out by...?

December 3142%

$10K 24h vol

Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

<0.75%97%0.75-1.25%2%1.25-2%1%3.25%+0%

$9K 24h vol

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 202742%June 30, 202732%March 31, 202718%December 31, 20266%

$8K 24h vol

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei87%No Head of State4%Reza Pahlavi3%Alireza Arafi2%

$7K 24h vol

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout

78-80%58%76-78%25%80-82%16%<76%3%

$7K 24h vol

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202795%US2%China1%Qatar / UAE1%

$7K 24h vol

Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

Gadi Eizenkot56%Other50%Person 150%Person 250%

$7K 24h vol

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 314%

$6K 24h vol

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

4%chance · Yes

$5K 24h vol

New pandemic in 2026?

3%chance · Yes

$5K 24h vol

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

The Democrats62%Yashar59%Yisrael Beiteinu54%Together48%

$5K 24h vol

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

7%chance · Yes

$4K 24h vol

India strike on Pakistan by...?

December 31, 202610%

$4K 24h vol

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

5%chance · Yes

$4K 24h vol

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change97%25 bps increase3%50+ bps increase1%50+ bps decrease0%

$4K 24h vol

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

3%chance · Yes

$3K 24h vol

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

No change75%25 bps increase25%25 bps decrease0%50+ bps increase0%

$3K 24h vol

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

5%chance · Yes

$3K 24h vol

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

Person F50%Person G50%Person H50%Person I50%

$3K 24h vol

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?

87%chance · Yes

$3K 24h vol

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

December 3198%October 3197%

$3K 24h vol

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

December 3114%

$3K 24h vol