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Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen46%Édouard Philippe19%David Lisnard12%Jean-Luc Mélenchon11%

$697K 24h vol

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot50%Benjamin Netanyahu28%Naftali Bennett13%Avigdor Lieberman4%

$602K 24h vol

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom16%Jon Ossoff15%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%Kamala Harris6%

$523K 24h vol

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

No Hormuz Agreement90%Hormuz Agreement; D Senate4%Hormuz Agreement; R Senate3%

$413K 24h vol

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Other50%Flávio Bolsonaro <4%47%Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%25%Lula da Silva <4%21%

$371K 24h vol

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep63%R Senate, D House28%Republicans Sweep9%D Senate, R House1%

$337K 24h vol

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%J.D. Vance44%Marco Rubio15%Tucker Carlson3%

$319K 24h vol

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party92%Republican Party9%

$244K 24h vol

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance20%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%Jon Ossoff10%Gavin Newsom9%

$227K 24h vol

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

No Hormuz Agreement85%Hormuz Agreement; D Senate8%Hormuz Agreement; R Senate5%

$224K 24h vol

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar72%Likud28%Together0%Shas0%

$147K 24h vol

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

<2039%20-2432%25-2920%30-349%

$144K 24h vol

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)62%Ken Paxton (R)39%

$120K 24h vol

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

Oil ≥ $85; D Senate57%Oil ≥ $85; R Senate31%Oil < $85; D Senate6%Oil < $85; R Senate3%

$114K 24h vol

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an60%Candidate A50%Candidate B50%Candidate C50%

$111K 24h vol

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo81%Person D50%Person E50%Person F50%

$102K 24h vol

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson79%Ulf Kristersson16%Ebba Busch2%Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist2%

$96K 24h vol

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia68%List A50%List B50%List C50%

$95K 24h vol

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%71%Other50%Remain 20–40%19%Remain 60–80%12%

$93K 24h vol

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party64%Republican Party37%

$80K 24h vol

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

Darline Graham Nordone (R)84%Annie Andrews (D)18%

$62K 24h vol

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)64%Jon Husted (R)37%

$59K 24h vol

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

Oil ≥ $80; D Senate62%Oil ≥ $80; R Senate32%Oil < $80; D Senate3%Oil < $80; R Senate2%

$50K 24h vol

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance · Yes

$46K 24h vol

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Luca Niculescu95%Ilie Bolojan0%Alexandru Nazare0%Siegfried Mureșan0%

$42K 24h vol

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)70%Mike Rogers (R)31%

$42K 24h vol

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D)93%John James (R)7%Independent0%

$34K 24h vol

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate65%No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate32%Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate2%Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate1%

$33K 24h vol

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman51%Karen Bass50%

$32K 24h vol

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

Chris Pappas (D)89%John E. Sununu (R)12%

$32K 24h vol

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Other50%Iotova 20-30%42%Iotova 10-20%17%Iotova 40%+9%

$29K 24h vol

KS-04 House Election Winner

Ron Estes (R)95%Katy Tyndell (D)4%

$25K 24h vol

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

Flavio Bolsonaro62%Candidate A50%Candidate B50%Candidate C50%

$24K 24h vol

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić67%Person C50%Person D50%Person E50%

$24K 24h vol

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra96%Steve Hilton3%Tom Steyer0%Rick Caruso0%

$24K 24h vol

British Columbia General Election Winner

Conservative89%Party A50%Party B50%Party C50%

$23K 24h vol

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)63%Susan Collins (R)38%

$22K 24h vol

TX-36 House Election Winner

Brian Babin (R)95%Rhonda Hart (D)5%

$19K 24h vol

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola74%Sen. Dan Sullivan26%Ann Diener0%Dustin Darden0%

$18K 24h vol

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate61%No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate34%Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate3%Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate2%

$17K 24h vol

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

93%chance · Yes

$17K 24h vol

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

Person L50%Person M50%Person N50%Person O50%

$17K 24h vol

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei48%Axel Kicillof33%Sergio Massa12%Patricia Bullrich3%

$16K 24h vol

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Together77%Party A50%Party B50%Party C50%

$16K 24h vol

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4741%4817%4913%5013%

$13K 24h vol

TX-04 House Election Winner

Pat Fallon (R)96%Jason Pearce (D)2%

$13K 24h vol

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

99%chance · Yes

$13K 24h vol

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

Person I50%Person J50%Person K50%Person L50%

$13K 24h vol